Any update on SCOTUS conference today

Snope and ocean state denied. Fuckers.

Damned docket teases.

Of course, on the day I’m slammed at work at can’t monitor.

Reason article:

… Today, the Supreme Court finally put the petition out of its misery and denied cert. Justices Thomas, Alito, and Gorsuch would have granted. Justice Barrett, as usual said nothing. Justice Kavanaugh wrote a very unusual statement respecting the denial of the petition. The first two paragraphs explain why the Maryland decision was “questionable.” If you read these parts, you would expect a grant. Indeed, Kavanaugh as circuit judge had found that the District of Columbia’s ban on AR-15s was unconstitutional. But then, we get to the last paragraph:

In short, under this Court’s precedents, the Fourth Circuit’s decision is questionable. Although the Court today denies certiorari, a denial of certiorari does not mean that the Court agrees with a lower-court decision or that the issue is not worthy of review. The AR–15 issue was recently decided by the First Circuit and is currently being considered by several other Courts of Appeals. See Capen v. Campbell, 134 F. 4th 660 (CA1 2025); see also, e.g., National Assn. for Gun Rights v. Lamont, 685 F. Supp. 3d 63 (Conn. 2023), appeal pending, No. 23–1162 (CA2); Association of N. J. Rifle & Pistol Clubs, Inc. v. Platkin, 742 F. Supp. 3d 421 (NJ 2024), appeal pending, No. 24–2415 (CA3); Viramontes v. County of Cook, No. 1:21–cv–4595 (NDIll., Mar. 1, 2024), appeal pending, No. 24–1437 (CA7); Miller v. Bonta, 699 F. Supp. 3d 956 (SD Cal. 2023), appeal pending, No. 23–2979 (CA9). Opinions from other Courts of Appeals should assist this Court’s ultimate decision making on the AR–15 issue. Additional petitions for certiorari will likely be before this Court shortly and, in my view, this Court should and presumably will address the AR–15 issue soon, in the next Term or two.

My mouth nearly hit the floor when I read this. Kavanaugh all-but signals that he will be a fourth vote to grant cert. He does not identify any vehicle problems, or reasons why the Maryland petition should not be granted. Does he really think that rulings from the Ninth Circuit will help much in the deliberations? These courts will all rule against the Second Amendment. Nothing is in doubt. The upshot is that the Court is really busy with other stuff right now, and you all should just come back later. The Second Amendment could take a sabbatical for a year or two until the docket lightens up. Indeed, this case has been pending for nearly four years. Maryland gun owners will just have to chill. ,

Oh, and KAWKSUKKAHS! Illegal immigrant deportations, an emergency, right now!

The #2 constitutional right? Y’all can wait.

… The Third Circuit is set to hear oral arguments on ANJRPC and Cheeseman on June 30th. In those cases, the lower court ruled that the Colt AR-15 is protected under the Second Amendment (a clear break in interpretation from Maryland in Snope). The composition of the Third Circuit is much more favorable, and the binding precedent at the Third Circuit is much more favorable to gun rights than elsewhere in the nation. The Third Circuit’s ruling in these cases is therefore most likely to be different than that coming out of Illinois, California, and Maryland.

New Jersey’s cases are now, potentially, the most important cases in the nation in overturning “assault weapon” and magazine bans. As such, a final ruling in ANJRPC and Cheeseman may well be the case that SCOTUS must finally review. And that aligns with Kavanaugh’s predicted timeline of putting this issue to bed in the next one to two terms.

It would be cool, if a case from NJ was the one SCOTUS used to smack down the antis again, but it is beyond frustrating how long these cases drag out. Politicians and the lower Courts are ignoring SCOTUS and the 2A.

A Right Delayed is a Right Denied. We’ve been denied our Rights for far too long already.

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Just saw this, Not sure if this is already being talked about. Apologize if it is.

Soon = Years

New Jersey Firearm Owners Syndicate
Mark Cheeseman
Press@njfos.org

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

June 2, 2025

New Jersey Firearm Owners Syndicate

Statement on Denial of Cert in Snope and Ocean State Tactical

Atlantic Highlands, NJ June 2, 2025 ----

Statement on behalf of New Jersey Firearm Owners Syndicate

While many of us in the Second Amendment Community were both shocked and disappointed in today’s denial of certiorari by the Supreme Court of Snope v Brown and Ocean State Tactical et al v Rhode Island, the court gives us hope. In it’s denial, Justice Kavanaugh writes:

“In short, under this Court’s precedents, the Fourth Circuit’s decision is questionable. Although the Court today denies certiorari, a denial of certiorari does not mean that the Court agrees with a lower-court decision or that the issue is not worthy of review. The AR–15 issue was recently decided by the First Circuit and is currently being considered by several other Courts of Appeals…Opinions from other Courts of Appeals should assist this Court’s ultimate decisionmaking on the AR–15 issue. Additional petitions for certiorari will likely be before this Court shortly and, in my view, this Court should and presumably will address the AR–15 issue soon, in the next Term or two.”

The votes are seemingly there to find on the merits in favor of the Second Amendment. However it has been made clear the court wants a circuit split before granting certiorari. The case now best poised to create that split and cover both the bans of firearms and features as well as magazine capacity are the consolidated cases now before the Third Circuit, including Cheeseman v Platkin, so named for Plaintiff Mark Cheeseman, founder and President of New Jersey Firearm Owners Syndicate. Pro-second Amendment districts simply don’t have bans to challenge to create a split, and entrenched anti-Second Amendment districts consistently find against the Right to Keep and Bear Arms. The makeup of the 3rd circuit, especially en banc, gives favor to the Second Amendment Right to Keep and Bear Arms, even if not in totality. Therefore a win, even a modest one, can prove to be the tipping point of the scales. Cheeseman v Platkin may be the most important 2A case percolating through the system since Bruen.

Oral arguments before the Third Circuit are scheduled for June 30, 2025. We eagerly await these proceedings, and encourage everyone to support the organizations, such as Firearms Policy Coalition, litigating these cases.

–NJFOS–

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Kavanaugh kicked it back down essentially - telling the 4th circuit to get their crap together…

Is emil bove on the 3rd circuit yet?

https://x.com/CopperJacketTV/status/2039385873507291142#m

https://xcancel.com/CopperJacketTV/status/2039385873507291142#m

https://www.scotusblog.com/2026/04/what-cases-might-the-court-grant-next/

That blog is not written for people with ADD.

Here ya go ADHD dude:

The Second Amendment cluster

The broadest story on the current docket is the accumulation of Second Amendment petitions, all pressing variations of the same question left open after the 2022 case of New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen: what categories of commonly owned firearms and accessories fall within the Second Amendment’s protection?

The strongest vehicle in this cluster, based on the current data, is Duncan v. Bonta, on whether states can ban large-capacity magazines. Duncan has been relisted 11 times, has a confirmed en banc dissent in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 9th Circuit below, presents a genuine circuit split on magazine capacity restrictions, and is represented by Erin Murphy of Clement & Murphy. The petition also carries a takings clause hook, challenging the requirement that owners dispossess themselves of lawfully acquired magazines without compensation. Five amicus briefs were filed at the cert stage. Across every dimension the model weighs, Duncan is a strong contender for cert.

Viramontes v. Cook County presents the assault-style rifle question directly – whether the Second and 14th Amendments protect the right to possess AR-15 platform rifles in common use. David Thompson of Cooper & Kirk represents the petitioner, the case has been relisted 11 times, and SCOTUSblog has featured it as a case to watch. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the 7th Circuit issued the opinion below as a per curiam on June 2, 2025, with no dissent – which, while not a negative signal, means the case lacks the additional cert indicator that a written dissent would provide. What gives the petition its force is the acknowledged four-to-seven circuit split on assault weapon bans and the weight of the relist count.

Grant v. Higgins presents the same assault-style rifle question from the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 2nd Circuit, also represented by Thompson and Cooper & Kirk, and relisted six times. The two cases are direct companions. If the court grants Viramontes, it will almost certainly hold Grant pending the outcome in the former case or consolidate them.

The large capacity magazine side of the cluster has two additional petitions: Gator’s Custom Guns v. Washington, a Washington Supreme Court vehicle with 11 relists and Erin Murphy as counsel again, and NAGR v. Lamont, which combines the assault rifle and LCM questions in a single 2nd Circuit petition, relisted six times.

The court is unlikely to grant all of these cases. Based on the relist clustering, the most plausible scenario is that the court grants one of the rifle cases and one of the magazine cases – though which it selects is not something the available data can resolve. …

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In case anyone is interested and wants to start marking a possible date for the SC to confirm the 2A.. my math tells me 3 presidential terms between now and then and I believe Reagan stated that we are only one generation away from losing this country. for those gun owners not born yet please vote for freedom when you turn 18 and that’s only if we still have elections then.