# Will Soaring War Risk Send Civilian Ammunition Prices Higher? **URL:** \ **Category:** Ammunition & Reloading\ **Created:** [March 3, 2026, 2:53pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987 "2026-03-03T14:53:25Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![Sniper](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/sniper/32/187_2.png) [@Sniper](https://njgunforums.net/u/Sniper)\ **Post date:** [March 3, 2026, 2:53pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/1 "2026-03-03T14:53:25Z")
President Trump signaled on Sunday that [Operation Epic Fury](https://www.zerohedge.com/military/pentagon-confirms-first-us-troop-deaths-casualties-operation-epic-fury) could extend for four weeks, shifting our focus beyond the likely decline of certain air-delivered munition stockpiles to the question of whether a prolonged conflict begins tightening small-arms ammunition supplies and spilling over into civilian markets. Beyond missiles and bombs, the possibility of a four-week conflict may spark governments into a buying frenzy of small-arms ammunition, rebuilding stockpiles, and funding allies, thereby tightening the consumer market. Then there is retail: whenever there is a risk of war, riots, or Democrats trying to take away their guns, some consumers always go into a buying panic of ammo and guns. > **[Will Soaring War Risk Send Civilian Ammunition Prices Higher?](https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher)** > > .40 cents per round certaintly seems like a floor. ---
**Author:** ![Sniper](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/sniper/32/187_2.png) [@Sniper](https://njgunforums.net/u/Sniper)\ **Post date:** [March 3, 2026, 3:09pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/2 "2026-03-03T15:09:14Z")
Are we out of ammo? ![HCditNKWoAAkRTe](https://njgunforums.net/uploads/default/original/2X/3/3cf29b786789f458577efd8d01c3a1f15a1743df.jpeg) ---
**Author:** ![oldguysrule649](https://njgunforums.net/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/o/5f9b8f/32.png) [@oldguysrule649](https://njgunforums.net/u/oldguysrule649)\ **Post date:** [March 3, 2026, 4:17pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/3 "2026-03-03T16:17:46Z")
I think this is just highlights the need to maintain an “adequate” supply of ammo on hand at all times.. So that you can insulate yourself from the variety of factors that cause ammo price increases and/or shortages. Much like other areas of emergency preparedness. What is “adequate” is different for each person depending on their shooting needs, firearm types owned, budget, age, etc. ---
**Author:** ![Candyman87](https://njgunforums.net/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/c/54ee81/32.png) [@Candyman87](https://njgunforums.net/u/Candyman87)\ **Post date:** [March 3, 2026, 5:54pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/4 "2026-03-03T17:54:09Z")
Whenever people ask about how many rounds to have on hand, I caveat that. As a supply chain nerd, I don’t look at inventory in units. I look at inventory in time. If I shoot ~300 rounds a month and have 3000 rounds on hand, I have 10 months of inventory. I try to keep between 3-6 months on hand MINIMUM for my primary chamberings. ---
**Author:** ![Redeye65](https://njgunforums.net/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/r/8baadc/32.png) [@Redeye65](https://njgunforums.net/u/Redeye65)\ **Post date:** [March 3, 2026, 8:31pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/5 "2026-03-03T20:31:30Z")
When I browse ammo, the volume of available ammo seems to be cut in half or more, there use to be 40 different 9mm offerings on a web site, now there are 20 available, and this goes for all calibers. The shear available volume is down, I don’t think we need a war to hose up the ammo situation in this country. That being said, I’m not worried. ---
**Author:** ![NJGF-Admin](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/njgf-admin/32/139_2.png) [@NJGF-Admin](https://njgunforums.net/u/NJGF-Admin)\ **Post date:** [March 3, 2026, 9:08pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/6 "2026-03-03T21:08:36Z")
In the short term, probably not. Ammo prices seemed to have bottomed out about a year ago from the pandemic highs and since then we’ve seen them creep up about 10%. Powder shortages, raw material costs (brass/copper/lead) as well as tariffs are all contributing factors. I don’t necessarily think the current conflict will impact civilian price or supply. If it turns into a longstanding ground occupation, that may change my outlook a bit as I would expect increasing prices during a conflict. > [@Redeye65](#): > > When I browse ammo, the volume of available ammo seems to be cut in half or more Checking on Outdoor Limited, just 9mm has at least 50 options available. While they don’t always have my favorite available, they have a good variety ranging from $0.21/rd to $2/rd depending on the load. Doesn’t seem like a shortage on that site right now vs pandemic times when there would only be a handful of options there. Edit: Since I was looking I ordered another case 😉 ---
**Author:** ![Sniper](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/sniper/32/187_2.png) [@Sniper](https://njgunforums.net/u/Sniper)\ **Post date:** [March 8, 2026, 7:28pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/7 "2026-03-08T19:28:08Z")
Just another point of reference, from a email from SGammo: **Demand For Ammo Is The Highest It’s Been In Years - Get Yours While Good Deals Are In Stock @ SGAmmo** \*\*We have seen extremely strong sales on ammo the past 9 days, with daily sales volume double to triple that of February averages and demand at the highest point it has been since October 2023. On Friday March 6th, I actually got up from my desk job and picked orders in the warehouse for 3 hours to help the crew stay on track shipping them out, and I also observed the inventory in our warehouse aisles getting very thin in many places. This recent rush of high demand has wiped out my inventory of many products that are stocked in smaller quantities or that have been limited in supply recently, and supply of the most popular products is being quickly diminished as well. However we still have a lot of great stuff in stock that is also priced right to buy from today.\*\* **It would be a good time to stock up on ammo while many of the best and most popular options are still availability. Slow sales this past summer caused many major ammo factories to reduce production, decrease raw material stockpiles, lay off employees, and take other cost reducing steps that now limit their capacity to ramp production back up to meet higher demand levels. I expect that it will be more difficult to restock popular products at the lowest price points in the weeks and months ahead, and supplies of many of the most popular products to run dry or be spotty in availability at best.** ---
**Author:** ![NJGF-Admin](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/njgf-admin/32/139_2.png) [@NJGF-Admin](https://njgunforums.net/u/NJGF-Admin)\ **Post date:** [March 8, 2026, 7:45pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/8 "2026-03-08T19:45:24Z")
Yeah, I ordered another case of 9mm last night. Figure to buy now while it’s cheap and available. ---
**Author:** ![NJGF-Admin](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/njgf-admin/32/139_2.png) [@NJGF-Admin](https://njgunforums.net/u/NJGF-Admin)\ **Post date:** [March 13, 2026, 5:21pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/9 "2026-03-13T17:21:28Z")
Apparently I was wrong. Ammo prices are on the rise. Stuff that was $0.20/rd 5 days ago is now $0.24/rd. ---
**Author:** ![scorpio64](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/scorpio64/32/6025_2.png) [@scorpio64](https://njgunforums.net/u/scorpio64)\ **Post date:** [March 13, 2026, 6:03pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/10 "2026-03-13T18:03:59Z")
Spent the better part of this morning dong case prep, sorting and some research. Getting ready for a batch of 1000 62gr FMJ range fodder. 7 cents per bullet, 15 Cents powder, 3.5 cents primer, brass, FREE. 25.5 cents per pew. Man, I thought the supplies were expensive at the time I bought them. ---
**Author:** ![NJGF-Admin](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/njgf-admin/32/139_2.png) [@NJGF-Admin](https://njgunforums.net/u/NJGF-Admin)\ **Post date:** [March 13, 2026, 6:43pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/11 "2026-03-13T18:43:26Z")
Is that at the current cost of supplies or when you purchased them? ---
**Author:** ![scorpio64](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/scorpio64/32/6025_2.png) [@scorpio64](https://njgunforums.net/u/scorpio64)\ **Post date:** [March 13, 2026, 6:59pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/12 "2026-03-13T18:59:59Z")
When I bought them, eh, maybe 12 years ago. ---
**Author:** ![NJGF-Admin](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/njgf-admin/32/139_2.png) [@NJGF-Admin](https://njgunforums.net/u/NJGF-Admin)\ **Post date:** [March 13, 2026, 7:05pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/13 "2026-03-13T19:05:18Z")
OK, so if you needed to purchase all those components today, what is the approximate cost per round? ---
**Author:** ![scorpio64](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/scorpio64/32/6025_2.png) [@scorpio64](https://njgunforums.net/u/scorpio64)\ **Post date:** [March 13, 2026, 7:06pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/14 "2026-03-13T19:06:43Z")
> [@NJGF-Admin](#): > > so if you needed to purchase all those components today, I don’t need to, and will not, for a very VERY long time 😆 ---
**Author:** ![DirtyDigz](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/dirtydigz/32/2609_2.png) [@DirtyDigz](https://njgunforums.net/u/DirtyDigz)\ **Post date:** [March 13, 2026, 7:09pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/15 "2026-03-13T19:09:57Z")
Just enjoy the brag, don’t try to inject any metrics into it! 😃 ---
**Author:** ![Sniper](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/sniper/32/187_2.png) [@Sniper](https://njgunforums.net/u/Sniper)\ **Post date:** [March 13, 2026, 9:07pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/16 "2026-03-13T21:07:16Z")
> [@NJGF-Admin](#): > > Stuff that was $0.20/rd 5 days ago is now $0.24/rd. > [@scorpio64](#): > > Getting ready for a batch of 1000 62gr FMJ range fodder. 7 cents per bullet, 15 Cents powder, 3.5 cents primer, brass, FREE. 25.5 cents per pew. Certainly sounds that buying new is the direction to go, as that doesn’t consider any labor on top of material costs. ---
**Author:** ![NJGF-Admin](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/njgf-admin/32/139_2.png) [@NJGF-Admin](https://njgunforums.net/u/NJGF-Admin)\ **Post date:** [March 13, 2026, 9:21pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/17 "2026-03-13T21:21:17Z")
It would interest me if I could save 50% or more reloading. ---
**Author:** ![njJoniGuy](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/njjoniguy/32/5640_2.png) [@njJoniGuy](https://njgunforums.net/u/njJoniGuy)\ **Post date:** [March 13, 2026, 9:37pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/18 "2026-03-13T21:37:45Z")
And what are you going to do when that day in the future happens (SHTF) and factory ammo is no longer available NO MATTER THE PRICE? ---
**Author:** ![scorpio64](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/scorpio64/32/6025_2.png) [@scorpio64](https://njgunforums.net/u/scorpio64)\ **Post date:** [March 13, 2026, 11:31pm UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/19 "2026-03-13T23:31:38Z")
> [@NJGF-Admin](#): > > if I could save 50% I guarantee you will save 50%, I just can’t say when. When Trump was elected first term, by year two the price of guns and ammo cratered. You could get a complete AR then for like $350, they couldn’t give guns away because everyone already stocked up (and now broke) from panic buying. Ammo dropped below pre Newtown prices for a long while. That was the window of opportunity. Every time I shot ATA trap on Sundays, I stopped at the Shooter supply and pick up something. That was right up until when The Wu Flu struck. Have not bought anything since, really don’t need to, maybe some shotgun powder in a couple years. Reloading handgun is very inexpensive and a LOT easier than dealing with bottleneck rifle cartridges. Most 9mm loads use only 3 to 4 grains of powder. You get 4x the reloads for pistol compared to shotgun where I use 16 grans of 700x. Like, $180 bucks buys you enough powder to reload 7000 rounds of 9mm. I wish I was more into handguns, it’s be a helluva lot cheaper to shoot than trap, eh, but then again, my trap range “membership” only set me back the cost of a hunting license. Bottom line. Reloading does pay off but in different ways for different people. I make match grade rounds for my SPR that would cost nearly $2/ea. My precision handloads only cost about 55 to 65 cents depending on the bullet powder combo I use. Savings aside, my handloads are more accurate than anything i can buy. > [@Getting Into Reloading?](https://njgunforums.net/t/getting-into-reloading/244): > > This was written by me in 2013 just a few months after I got back into shooting. Reloading/Hand loading Payoff When faced with the prospect of easily spending over $1,000.00 for reloading equipment and components, one may ask themselves how they can justify the start up cost of reloading. As a (soon to be) new shooter myself, I have been trying to find a reasonable and logical answer to this question. I am writing this not for the experienced reloader, as they already know why they do it. Thi… ---
**Author:** ![NJGF-Admin](https://njgunforums.net/user_avatar/njgunforums.net/njgf-admin/32/139_2.png) [@NJGF-Admin](https://njgunforums.net/u/NJGF-Admin)\ **Post date:** [March 14, 2026, 12:21am UTC](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987/20 "2026-03-14T00:21:56Z")
> [@njJoniGuy](#): > > And what are you going to do when that day in the future happens (SHTF) and factory ammo is no longer available Reloading components would be available during SHTF? I already have plenty of reserve for SHTF so would consider reloading for current needs. [Next page](https://njgunforums.net/t/will-soaring-war-risk-send-civilian-ammunition-prices-higher/3987.md?page=2)